Copper, industrial metals fall as Middle East war weighs on demand outlook

Copper and most of the wider base metal complex fell on Friday, as deteriorating risk sentiment from the Middle East war spurred inflation concerns and cast a shadow over the demand outlook. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange lost 1.01% to $13,461 a metric ton by 0715 GMT. The most-traded copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell 0.73% to 103,550 yuan ($15,284.13) a ton. Copper, nicknamed "Dr Copper" due to its use as a bellwether of global economic health, fluctuated through the week and in London is on track to end the week marginally higher by 0.08%. The breakdown of peace talks and the escalation of fighting between the U.S. and Iran have disrupted shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices rose on Friday, with Brent crude climbing nearly 12% this week. Despite edging up on Friday, non-yielding gold was set for its biggest weekly loss in six weeks on bets rising inflation could keep rates higher for longer. Higher interest rates weigh on growth-dependent industrial minerals by dampening economic activity. However, a string of softer economic data for June published this week eased some concerns about higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates, supporting market sentiment. Demand for copper was also supported by recent withdrawals from LME warehouses, and good buying interest in the world's top consumer, China. The Yangshan premium , which tracks buying interest there, stayed at its highest since May 2025 on Thursday, at $95 a ton. LME nickel lost 2.26% while the SHFE price fell 1.57%. Nickel's loss wiped out much of the previous day's rally, when prices increased on concerns related to raw material supply. Among other LME metals, aluminium lost 0.8%, zinc fell 1.36%, lead dipped 0.27% and tin dropped 1.76%. On SHFE, aluminium ticked 0.09% higher, zinc lost 0.73%, lead rose 1.8% and tin lost 1.49%.